Back at it after a 3 week layoff. This time has allowed the underlying metrics of the Triple Trend Formula (TTF) to become more relevant. I've got two plays this evening with the season's first 2 unit play included.
7:10pm (game 2): Rockies +108 RH Tyler Chatwood (3-5, 5.25 ERA) vs. Twins -118 RH Jose Berrios (1-0, 1.17)
Berrios looks to repeat his performance of 5/13 vs. the Indians where he went 7.2 innings giving up just one run and two hits while striking out 4 in a 4-1 win. It was his first MLB appearance this season after starting in Triple A.
Chatwood has given up 3 or more runs in a inning 6 times this season. Still, not enough to back MIN as Berrios was just 3-7 with an 8.02 ERA in 2016 (14 starts). COL has a +1.233 TTF advantage and I'm backing them for a unit.
8:15pm: Yankees -115 LH Jordan Montgomery (2-2, 4.19 ERA) vs. Royals +105 LH Danny Duffy (2-3, 3.38)
New York has taken the first two of this series in impressive fashion, 7-1 and 11-7. Duffy has been solid in his last two starts, but this Yankee lineup is red-hot and Montgomery is proving he belongs in the NYY rotation. With a +3.558 TTF rating, I recommend the Yankees for 2 units here.
Good luck, players!
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