NBA – 12/14




Tuesday's results:  1-5, -8.61 units

YTD results:  135 - 170 -3 (44%), -77.54 units, -16.09% ROI

Contributions:  PayPal.Me/WinniBet

Wednesday's analysis and tables below:

There's two games that stand out to me on Wednesday's card.

The first game that interests me is the CLE / MEM match up, primarily because of the Cavalier players that won't be in attendance: LeBron James, Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love. This line is currently MEM -8 accounting for the personnel changes. You'll see the FSI rates this one CLE -4, but I won't be betting this one, though, as I can't quantify the absence of the trio. (The FSI doesn't account for personnel)

The other game that I'm intrigued with, I will be betting. That's TOR -8.5 over PHI.

The Raptors beat the Sixers 122-95 back on Nov. 28 and have put together a streak of 9 wins in their last 10 games. Meanwhile, Philadelphia comes into the game having won their last 2 games, both on the road, but will have their hands full with DeRozan, Lowry and company tonight.

I recommend TOR -8.5 here for a full 3 unit play. The FSI rates this one TOR -17.87.

Good luck, players!

7:00pmToronto -8.5Philadelphia +8.5
Simple Rating System (SRS)+9.96-7.41
Offensive Rating (ORtg)+1.5 (1 - 117.1)-1.5 (30 - 99.4)
Defensive Rating (DRtg)-0.5 (20 - 107.8)0 (16 - 107.1)
Home Court0+3
Total+10.96-6.91
Formulated Spread-17.87+17.87
Pick (units)TOR -8.5 (3 units)-------
7:00pmCharlotte PKWashington PK
Simple Rating System (SRS)+1.70-2.98
Offensive Rating (ORtg)0 (15 - 106.3)0 (17 - 105.9)
Defensive Rating (DRtg)+1.5 (4 - 104.2)-0.5 (22 - 108.3)
Home Court0+3
Total+3.20-0.48
Formulated Spread-3.68+3.68
Pick (units)CHA PK (1 unit)-------
7:00pmL.A. Clippers -9Orlando +9
Simple Rating System (SRS)+8.95-5.52
Offensive Rating (ORtg)+1 (5 - 112.9)-1.5 (28 - 101.8)
Defensive Rating (DRtg)+1.5 (3 - 103.7)0 (13 - 106.7)
Home Court0+3
Total+10.95-4.02
Formulated Spread-14.97+14.97
Pick (units)LAC -9 (2 units)-------
7:00pmIndiana +1Miami -1
Simple Rating System (SRS)-2.49-2.38
Offensive Rating (ORtg)-0.5 (19 - 105.7)-1 (24 - 103.4)
Defensive Rating (DRtg)-0.5 (19 - 107.7)0 (13 - 106.7)
Home Court0+3
Total-3.49-0.38
Formulated Spread+3.11-3.11
Pick (units)-------MIA -1 (1 unit)
7:30pmL.A. Lakers -1.5Brooklyn +1.5
Simple Rating System (SRS)-5.54-8.30
Offensive Rating (ORtg)-0.5 (20 - 105.5)-0.5 (22 - 103.7)
Defensive Rating (DRtg)-1.5 (28 - 112.0)-1.5 (29 - 112.2)
Home Court0+3
Total-7.54-7.30
Formulated Spread+0.24-0.24
Pick (units)-------BRK +1.5 (1 unit)
8:00pmCleveland +4Memphis -4
Simple Rating System (SRS)+8.84-0.45
Offensive Rating (ORtg)+1.5 (3 - 115.0)-1.5 (27 - 102.0)
Defensive Rating (DRtg)+0.5 (11 - 106.5)+1.5 (1 - 102.2)
Home Court0+3
Total+10.84+2.55
Formulated Spread-8.29+8.29
Pick (units)CLE +4 (3 units)-------
8:00pmSacramento +9.5Houston -9.5
Simple Rating System (SRS)-0.87+5.88
Offensive Rating (ORtg)0 (14 - 106.6)+1.5 (4 - 113.9)
Defensive Rating (DRtg)0 (17 - 107.3)-0.5 (21 - 108.0)
Home Court0+3
Total-0.87+9.88
Formulated Spread+10.75-10.75
Pick (units)-------HOU -9.5 (1 unit)
8:30pmDetroit -5Dallas +5
Simple Rating System (SRS)+3.32-5.28
Offensive Rating (ORtg)-0.5 (20 - 105.5)-1.5 (29 - 101.2)
Defensive Rating (DRtg)+1.5 (2 - 102.3)-1 (23 - 108.8)
Home Court0+3
Total+4.32-4.78
Formulated Spread-9.10+9.10
Pick (units)DET -5 (2 units)-------
9:00pmOklahoma City +7Utah -7
Simple Rating System (SRS)+1.34+4.47
Offensive Rating (ORtg)0 (18 - 105.8)+1 (8 - 109.7)
Defensive Rating (DRtg)+1 (5 - 104.3)+1 (5 - 104.3)
Home Court0+3
Total+2.34+9.47
Formulated Spread+7.13-7.13
Pick (units)-------UTA -7 (1 unit)
9:30pmBoston +7.5San Antonio -7.5
Simple Rating System (SRS)+1.44+5.58
Offensive Rating (ORtg)+0.5 (9 - 109.0)+1 (7 - 110.3)
Defensive Rating (DRtg)0 (18 - 107.4)+1 (5 - 104.3)
Home Court0+3
Total+1.94+10.58
Formulated Spread+8.64-8.64
Pick (units)-------SAS -7.5 (1 unit)

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