4/17 – MLB – Huge 8 game evening card with TTF-based plays

It's Patriot's Day in Massachusetts and that means late morning baseball in Boston.  I've got a TTF-based recommendation on today's game.

11:05am: Rays +122 LH Blake Snell (0-1, 3.18 ERA) vs. Red Sox -135 RH Steven Wright (0-1, 13.50)

Tampa Bay (6-7) is just 1-5 on the road this season.  Boston (7-5) sends out knuckleballer Wright this morning.  He's been extremely ineffective in two starts this season.  TB gets a +0.607 TTF match up rating for this one.  One unit.

Update 2:30pm - Eight evening games.

7:05pm: White Sox +133 LH Derek Holland (1-1, 1.50 ERA) vs. Yankees -147 LH Jordan Montgomery (0-0, 3.86)

New York (8-4) has won 7 straight.  Chicago (6-5) RF Avail Garcia is batting an MLB best .465.  CWS rate +0.458 on the TTF for this match up.  One unit.

7:00pm: Pirates +120 RH Ivan Nova (1-1, 2.25 ERA) vs. Cardinals -133 RH Lance Lynn (0-1, 5.23)

St. Louis (3-9) just got swept in three games by the Yankees.  Meanwhile, Pittsburgh (6-6) took all three from the Cubs this past weekend.  I like the momentum, plus the +0.734 TTF match up rating in favor of PIT.  One unit.

7:35pm: Padres +147 RH Jered Weaver (0-1, 4.91 ERA) vs. Braves -163 LH Jaime Garcia (0-1, 5.73)

Atlanta (5-6) has won the first 3 games of this 4 game series and 4 straight overall.  San Diego (5-8) is 2-4 so far on this 7 game road trip.  Weaver was good enough in his last start to warrant backing here.  Also, the TTF give SD a +0.321 advantage.  One unit.

8:05pm: Brewers +175 RH Chase Anderson (1-0, 0.69 ERA) vs. Cubs -195 RH John Lackey (1-1, 3.00)

Milwaukee (7-6) is 5-1 on their current road trip.  Chicago (6-6) has lost 4 of 5.  Brewers 1B Eric Thames ins batting .358 with 6 homers.  Good price here on MIL and worth a play with a +0.399 TTF match up rating, I recommend them for a unit.

8:10pm: Indians -155 RH Danny Salazar (0-1, 4.63 ERA) vs. Twins +140 RH Kyle Gibson (0-1, 8.00)

Cleveland (5-7) is 2-7 after a 3-0 start.  Minnesota (7-5) is 4-2 at Target Field.  A bit of a reach backing Gibson here, but I will with MIN's +0.18 TTF match up rating.  One unit.

8:10pm: Angels +128 RH Jesse Chavez (1-1, 5.40 ERA) vs. Astros -142 RH Charlie Morton (0-1, 4.09)

The (6-7) Angels come into this game losers of 5 straight.  Houston (8-4) has won 4 in a row.  A slight overall pitching edge, along with a +0.367 TTF match up rating gives me reason to back LAA here.  One unit.

10:05pm: Rangers +118 RH A.J. Griffin (1-0, 6.75 ERA) vs. Athletics -131 RH Jharel Cotton (1-1, 3.97)

Texas (4-8) was swept this weekend by Seattle.  Oakland (5-7) got yesterday off (rainout) after losing 3 straight.  A little reach here with TEX, but with a +0.116 TTF matchup rating, I'll back them for a unit.

10:10pm: Marlins +125 RH Tom Koehler (0-0, 3.27 ERA) vs. Mariners -138 LH Ariel Miranda (0-1, 5.06)

Miami (7-5) is feeling pretty good after taking the last 3 games of a 4 game series vs. the Mets this weekend.  Seattle (5-8) piled up 3 wins with a weekend sweep of Texas.  As long as the Marlins adjust well enough after the cross-country trip, I like them here with a +0.881 advantage.  One unit.

Good luck, players!

 

 

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