Friday's results: 3-7, -7.24 units
YTD results: 145 - 185 -3 (44%), -78.36 units, -16.49% ROI
Contributions: PayPal.Me/WinniBet
Saturday's analysis and tables below:
7 games on Saturday's card, with one relatively early 5pm tip, PHO at OKC.
The one betting opportunity that stands out to me, however, is IND at DET -3.5.
I like the Pistons (14-14) in this spot at home, where they sport a solid 8-4 mark. They're coming in off a 122-108 loss in Washington last night, giving up 100 points for the 1st time in 7 games. I expect their defensive intensity to return this evening.
The Pacers (13-14) enter tonight's contest a little light in the backcourt with Ellis and Stuckey OUT. This will be the final game of a 3 game roadie and they have dropped the first 2 to go to just 3-10 away from home.
The FSI rates this one DET -10.86, so I recommend a 2 unit play on the Pistons.
Good luck, players!
| 5:00pm | Phoenix +7 | Oklahoma City -7 |
| Simple Rating System (SRS) | -6.91 | +0.71 |
| Offensive Rating (ORtg) | -1 (24 - 103.4) | -0.5 (19 - 105.7) |
| Defensive Rating (DRtg) | -1 (24 - 109.7) | +1 (8 - 105.0) |
| Home Court | 0 | +3 |
| Total | -8.91 | +4.21 |
| Formulated Spread | +13.12 | -13.12 |
| Pick (units) | ------- | OKC -7 (2 units) |
| 7:00pm | Indiana +3.5 | Detroit -3.5 |
| Simple Rating System (SRS) | -3.19 | +2.67 |
| Offensive Rating (ORtg) | -0.5 (21 - 104.9) | 0 (17 - 106.0) |
| Defensive Rating (DRtg) | 0 (16 - 107.1) | +1.5 (2 - 103.2) |
| Home Court | 0 | +3 |
| Total | -3.69 | +7.17 |
| Formulated Spread | +10.86 | -10.86 |
| Pick (units) | ------- | DET -3.5 (2 units) |
| 7:30pm | Charlotte +1.5 | Atlanta -1.5 |
| Simple Rating System (SRS) | +1.16 | -1.62 |
| Offensive Rating (ORtg) | 0 (18 - 105.9) | -1 (23 - 103.7) |
| Defensive Rating (DRtg) | +1 (5 - 104.4) | +0.5 (9 - 105.3) |
| Home Court | 0 | +3 |
| Total | +2.16 | +0.88 |
| Formulated Spread | -1.28 | +1.28 |
| Pick (units) | CHA +1.5 (1 units) | ------- |
| 7:30pm | L.A. Lakers +16 | Cleveland -16 |
| Simple Rating System (SRS) | -5.70 | +8.06 |
| Offensive Rating (ORtg) | -0.5 (20 - 105.3) | +1.5 (4 - 114.1) |
| Defensive Rating (DRtg) | -1.5 (27 - 111.3) | 0 (13 - 106.3) |
| Home Court | 0 | +3 |
| Total | -7.70 | +12.06 |
| Formulated Spread | +17.76 | -17.76 |
| Pick (units) | ------- | CLE -16 (1 unit) |
| 8:00pm | Houston -4.5 | Minnesota +4.5 |
| Simple Rating System (SRS) | +7.28 | -2.57 |
| Offensive Rating (ORtg) | +1.5 (3 - 114.8) | +0.5 (9 - 108.8) |
| Defensive Rating (DRtg) | 0 (17 - 107.2) | -1.5 (29 - 111.9) |
| Home Court | 0 | +3 |
| Total | +8.78 | -0.57 |
| Formulated Spread | -9.35 | +9.35 |
| Pick (units) | HOU -4.5 (2 units) | ------- |
| 9:00pm | New York +4 | Denver -4 |
| Simple Rating System (SRS) | -2.04 | -2.51 |
| Offensive Rating (ORtg) | +0.5 (12 - 107.2) | 0 (14 - 107.1) |
| Defensive Rating (DRtg) | -1 (26 - 110.0) | -1 (24 - 109.7) |
| Home Court | 0 | +3 |
| Total | -2.54 | -0.51 |
| Formulated Spread | +2.01 | -2.01 |
| Pick (units) | NYK +4 (1 unit) | ------- |
| 10:30pm | Portland +14 | Golden State -14 |
| Simple Rating System (SRS) | -1.68 | +10.42 |
| Offensive Rating (ORtg) | +1 (6 - 110.9) | +1.5 (2 - 116.3) |
| Defensive Rating (DRtg) | -1.5 (30 - 112.9) | +1 (6 - 104.6) |
| Home Court | 0 | +3 |
| Total | -2.18 | +15.92 |
| Formulated Spread | +18.10 | -18.10 |
| Pick (units) | ------- | GS -14 (2 units) |
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