Wednesday's results: 6-4, +1.36 units
YTD results: 141 - 174 -3 (45%), -76.18 units, -15.30% ROI
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Thursday's analysis and tables below:
5 games on Thursday's NBA schedule and I've got 4 of them rated as 1 unit plays, where there's no real advantage. I'll expand a little on my lone 2 unit rating. SAS -8 at PHO.
After last night's win over BOS, the Spurs (20-5) have now won 15 of their last 17. Aldridge is expected back in the lineup after resting last night.
The Suns (8-17) are playing better ball lately, winning 2 of 3 behind stellar play from G Eric Bledsoe, who has scored at least 30 in all three.
Phoenix will try to push the tempo here, for sure, but will they be successful in doing so vs. the Spurs? I don't think so. After catching coach Popovich's wrath after a loss to the Bulls last week, I don't see San Antonio losing focus tonight. A rested Aldridge will help, too.
The FSI rates this one SAS -13.58.
Lay the points and take the Spurs in this one.
Good luck, players!
| 8:00pm | Chicago +2.5 | Milwaukee -2.5 |
| Simple Rating System (SRS) | +1.62 | -0.21 |
| Offensive Rating (ORtg) | +0.5 (12 - 107.8) | 0 (13 - 106.9) |
| Defensive Rating (DRtg) | +1 (8 - 104.9) | 0 (13 - 106.5) |
| Home Court | 0 | +3 |
| Total | +3.12 | +2.79 |
| Formulated Spread | -0.33 | +0.33 |
| Pick (units) | CHI +2.5 (1 unit) | ------- |
| 8:00pm | Indiana +3 | New Orleans -3 |
| Simple Rating System (SRS) | -2.78 | -4.19 |
| Offensive Rating (ORtg) | -0.5 (21 - 105.3) | -1 (26 - 102.4) |
| Defensive Rating (DRtg) | 0 (16 - 107.4) | 0 (14 - 106.7) |
| Home Court | 0 | +3 |
| Total | -3.28 | -2.19 |
| Formulated Spread | +1.09 | -1.09 |
| Pick (units) | IND +3 (1 unit) | ------- |
| 9:00pm | Portland +1.5 | Denver -1.5 |
| Simple Rating System (SRS) | -1.13 | -2.87 |
| Offensive Rating (ORtg) | +1 (6 - 110.6) | 0 (17 - 106.2) |
| Defensive Rating (DRtg) | -1.5 (30 - 112.3) | -1 (24 - 109.4) |
| Home Court | 0 | +3 |
| Total | -1.63 | -0.87 |
| Formulated Spread | +0.76 | -0.76 |
| Pick (units) | POR +1.5 (1 unit) | ------- |
| 9:00pm | San Antonio -8 | Phoenix +8 |
| Simple Rating System (SRS) | +5.76 | -6.82 |
| Offensive Rating (ORtg) | +1 (7 - 110.4) | -1 (23 - 103.6) |
| Defensive Rating (DRtg) | +1 (5 - 104.3) | -1 (25 - 109.6) |
| Home Court | 0 | +3 |
| Total | +7.76 | -5.82 |
| Formulated Spread | -13.58 | +13.58 |
| Pick (units) | SAS -8 (2 units) | ------- |
| 10:30pm | New York +14 | Golden State -14 |
| Simple Rating System (SRS) | -1.96 | +10.33 |
| Offensive Rating (ORtg) | +0.5 (11 - 107.9) | +1.5 (2 - 116.7) |
| Defensive Rating (DRtg) | -1 (26 - 110.2) | +0.5 (10 - 105.1) |
| Home Court | 0 | +3 |
| Total | -2.46 | +15.33 |
| Formulated Spread | +17.79 | -17.79 |
| Pick (units) | ------- | GS -14 (1 unit) |
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