Friday's results: 6-8, -2.60 units
YTD results: 171 - 215 -4 (44%), -91.46 units, -15.32% ROI
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Sunday's analysis and tables below:
Five nationally televised NBA games this Christmas Day and I've got them all rated. However, the one that looks like the best betting situation will be the Clippers / Lakers finale at 10:30pm ET.
I was on the Clippers (22-9) Friday night vs the Mavericks and they couldn't get the job done without Griffin and Paul. I'm sticking with them for this one vs. their arena-mate Lakers (11-22).
Paul may return for this one, but I'm factoring that he doesn't. If he does, this number is a real gift.
The Lakers have lost 12 of their last 13 and that victory was vs. the lowly Sixers. They're probably better than their recent record, but I'm not betting on them being ready for this marquee matchup.
The FSI rates this one LAC -13.41 and that's giving the LAL a +3 home court rating. I'm confident the Clip's won't let me down twice in a row.
Merry Christmas, players!
| Noon | Boston -1.5 | New York +1.5 |
| Simple Rating System (SRS) | +1.75 | -2.05 |
| Offensive Rating (ORtg) | +0.5 (9 - 108.7) | 0 (13 - 107.8) |
| Defensive Rating (DRtg) | 0 (15 - 106.9) | -1 (24 - 110.1) |
| Home Court | 0 | +3 |
| Total | +2.25 | -0.05 |
| Formulated Spread | -2.30 | +2.30 |
| Pick (units) | BOS -1.5 (1 unit) | ------- |
| 2:30pm | Golden State -1.5 | Cleveland +1.5 |
| Simple Rating System (SRS) | +12.06 | +8.26 |
| Offensive Rating (ORtg) | +1.5 (2 - 116.1) | +1.5 (3 - 114.8) |
| Defensive Rating (DRtg) | +1.5 (2 - 102.9) | +0.5 (12 - 106.3) |
| Home Court | 0 | +3 |
| Total | +15.06 | +13.26 |
| Formulated Spread | -1.80 | +1.80 |
| Pick (units) | GS -1.5 (1 unit) | ------- |
| 5:00pm | Chicago +8.5 | San Antonio -8.5 |
| Simple Rating System (SRS) | +0.38 | +6.38 |
| Offensive Rating (ORtg) | 0 (18 - 106.8) | +1 (6 - 110.9) |
| Defensive Rating (DRtg) | +1 (8 - 105.4) | +1.5 (3 - 104.2) |
| Home Court | 0 | +3 |
| Total | +1.38 | +11.88 |
| Formulated Spread | +10.50 | -10.50 |
| Pick (units) | ------- | SAS -8.5 (1 unit) |
| 8:00pm | Minnesota +4.5 | Oklahoma City -4.5 |
| Simple Rating System (SRS) | -1.93 | +0.90 |
| Offensive Rating (ORtg) | +0.5 (9 - 108.7) | 0 (15 - 107.4) |
| Defensive Rating (DRtg) | -1.5 (27 - 111.1) | +0.5 (9 - 105.9) |
| Home Court | 0 | +3 |
| Total | -2.93 | +4.40 |
| Formulated Spread | +7.33 | -7.33 |
| Pick (units) | ------- | OKC -4.5 (1 unit) |
| 10:30pm | L.A. Clippers -6 | L.A. Lakers +6 |
| Simple Rating System (SRS) | +7.36 | -6.05 |
| Offensive Rating (ORtg) | +1 (5 - 112.7) | +0.5 (19 - 105.7) |
| Defensive Rating (DRtg) | +1 (5 - 104.6) | -1.5 (29 - 112.3) |
| Home Court | 0 | +3 |
| Total | +9.36 | -4.05 |
| Formulated Spread | -13.41 | +13.41 |
| Pick (units) | LAC -6 (2 units) | ------- |
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