NCAAF – Week 3




Week 2 results:  5-5, -2.70 units

YTD results:  11-14-1 (44%), -5.83 units, -10.80% ROI

For week 3, it'll be all 2016 stats / metrics for the Calculated Relative Spread (CRS) formula.  Now, since it's only 2 weeks of data, you will see some rather big differentials and high unit recommendations.  These numbers will level off as the weeks go by.  Having said this, I stand behind the CRS but realize that it becomes a more relevant formula with more weeks of data.

A reminder, I no longer require a subscription to access the handicapping tables, including these NCAAF Calculated Relative Spread (CRS) tables.  I want as many players as possible to have access to this handicapping tool.  Instead, I'm taking a leap of faith in relying on those that see a benefit in using the tables to contribute an amount in line with what they think it's worth to them.  It's an easy PayPal.Me transaction here.  Thank you in advance.

Week 3 tables below:

Thurs., Sept. 15 7:30pm(7) Houston -7Cincinnati +7
Simple Rating System (SRS)+30.75+27.00
Defense (ppg)+2 (11.5)+2 (13.5)
Home Field0+3
Totals+32.75+32.00
Calculated Relative Spread -0.75+0.75
Recommended bet (units)-------CIN +7 (3 units)
Comments:
The Cougars opened the season two weeks ago with a 33-23 upset of Oklahoma. QB Greg Ward sat out last week's 42-0 win over Lamar. Cincinnati is off to a 2-0 start after winning 38-20 on the road vs. the Big Ten's Purdue.
Fri., Sept. 16 8:00pm(19) Baylor -30Rice +30
Simple Rating System (SRS)+32.50+21.82
Defense (ppg)+2 (10.0)-2 (38.5)
Home Field0+3
Totals+34.50+22.82
Calculated Relative Spread -11.68+11.68
Recommended bet (units)-------Rice +30 (5 units)
Comments:
Sat., Sept. 17 Noon(3) Florida State -3(15) Louisville +3
Simple Rating System (SRS)+27.67+48.00
Defense (ppg)+1 (21.0)+1 (21.0)
Home Field0+3
Totals+28.67+52.00
Calculated Relative Spread +23.33-23.33
Recommended bet (units)-------LOU +3 (5 units)
Comments:
Sat., Sept. 17 3:30pm(1) Alabama -9.5(18) Mississippi +9.5
Simple Rating System (SRS)+70.32+20.33
Defense (ppg)+2 (8.0)0 (29.0)
Home Field0+3
Totals+72.32+23.33
Calculated Relative Spread -48.99+48.99
Recommended bet (units)ALA -9.5 (5 units)-------
Comments:
Sat., Sept. 17 3:30pmColorado +20.5(6) Michigan -20.5
Simple Rating System (SRS)+29.50+37.60
Defense (ppg)+2 (7.0)+2 (8.5)
Home Field0+3
Totals+31.50+42.60
Calculated Relative Spread +11.10-11.10
Recommended bet (units)COL +20.5 (4 units)-------
Comments:
Sat., Sept. 17 3:30pm(23) Oregon +3Nebraska -3
Simple Rating System (SRS)+16.33+42.32
Defense (ppg)0 (27.0)+2 (13.5)
Home Field0+3
Totals+16.33+47.32
Calculated Relative Spread +30.99-30.99
Recommended bet (units)-------NEB -3 (5 units)
Comments:
Sat., Sept. 17 3:30pmPittsburgh +6.5(17) Oklahoma State -6.5
Simple Rating System (SRS)+20.75+21.67
Defense (ppg)+1 (23.0)+2 (18.5)
Home Field0+3
Totals+21.75+26.67
Calculated Relative Spread +4.92-4.92
Recommended bet (units)PITT +6.5 (1 unit)-------
Comments:


Bet at 5dimes

Sat., Sept. 17 7:00pm(24) Texas A&M +3.5Auburn -3.5
Simple Rating System (SRS)+31.00+25.48
Defense (ppg)+2 (12.0)+2 (16.5)
Home Field0+3
Totals+33.00+30.48
Calculated Relative Spread -2.52+2.52
Recommended bet (units)TAM +3.5 (3 units)-------
Comments:
Sat., Sept. 17 7:00pmMississippi State +13.5(22) LSU -13.5
Simple Rating System (SRS)+29.66+25.75
Defense (ppg)+2 (17.5)+2 (14.5)
Home Field0+3
Totals+31.66+30.75
Calculated Relative Spread -0.91+0.91
Recommended bet (units)MSST +13.5 (5 units)-------
Comments:
Sat., Sept. 17 7:30pm(4) Ohio State -1.5(13) Oklahoma +1.5
Simple Rating System (SRS)+47.40+27.50
Defense (ppg)+2 (6.5)+1 (25.0)
Home Field0+3
Totals+49.40+31.50
Calculated Relative Spread -17.90+17.90
Recommended bet (units)OSU -1.5 (5 units)-------
Comments:
Sat., Sept. 17 7:30pm(8) Michigan State +7.5(21) Notre Dame -7.5
Simple Rating System (SRS)+15.00+40.25
Defense (ppg)+2 (13.0)0 (30.0)
Home Field0+3
Totals+17.00+43.25
Calculated Relative Spread +26.25-26.25
Recommended bet (units)-------ND -7.5 (5 units)
Comments:


Bet at 5dimes

Sat., Sept. 17 8:00pmSouthern Cal +8.5(5) Stanford -8.5
Simple Rating System (SRS)+46.770.00
Defense (ppg)0 (29.5)+2 (13.0)
Home Field0+3
Totals+46.77+5.00
Calculated Relative Spread -41.77+41.77
Recommended bet (units)USC +8.5 (5 units)-------
Comments:
Sat., Sept. 17 10:30pm(20) Texas -7.5California +7.5
Simple Rating System (SRS)+51.92+24.60
Defense (ppg)0 (27.0)-2 (38.0)
Home Field0+3
Totals+51.92+25.60
Calculated Relative Spread -26.32+26.32
Recommended bet (units)TEX -7.5 (5 units)-------
Comments:

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