Week 1 results: 7-9 (44%), -13.64 units, -28.42% ROI
I'll be using all 2016 (week 1) stats / metrics for week 2. However, since the SRS won't kick in until week 3 (need at least 2 weeks of results), I've substituted a 50% Margin of Victory (MOV) rating for week 2.
A reminder, I no longer require a subscription to access the handicapping tables, including these NFL Calculated Relative Spread (CRS) tables. I want as many players as possible to have access to this handicapping tool. Instead, I'm taking a leap of faith in relying on those that see a benefit in using the tables to contribute an amount in line with what they think it's worth to them. It's an easy PayPal.Me transaction here. Thank you in advance.
Week 2 tables below:
Thursday - 8:25pm | N.Y. Jets PK | Buffalo PK |
Week 1 MOV (50%) | -0.5 | -3.0 |
Drive Scoring Avg. (Sc%) | +1 (7 - 50.0%) | -1.5 (31 - 11.1%) |
Defense (rank - ppg) | 0 (16 - 23.0) | +1 (6 - 13.0) |
QB Rating (rating) | -1.5 Fitzpatrick (77.0) | -1.5 Taylor (79.9) |
Home Field | 0 | +3 |
Totals | -1 | -2 |
Calculated Relative Spread | -1 | +1 |
Pick (units) | NYJ PK (1 unit) | ------- |
Comments: |
|
Sunday - 1:00pm | San Francisco +13 | Carolina -13 |
Week 1 MOV (50%) | -14.0 | -0.5 |
Drive Scoring Avg. (Sc%) | -0.5 (24 - 28.6%) | 0 (17 - 40.0%) |
Defense (rank - ppg) | -0.5 (24 - 28.0) | 0 (13 - 21.0) |
QB Rating (rating) | -1.5 Gabbert (84.2) | -1.5 Newton (69.5) |
Home Field | 0 | +3 |
Totals | -16.5 | +1 |
Calculated Relative Spread (differential) | +17.5 | -17.5 |
Pick (units) | ------- | CAR -13 (3 units) |
Comments: |
|
Sunday - 1:00pm | Baltimore -6.5 | Cleveland +6.5 |
Week 1 MOV (50%) | +3.0 | -9.5 |
Drive Scoring Avg. (Sc%) | -0.5 (22 - 30%) | -1.5 (30 - 15.4%) |
Defense (rank - ppg) | +1.5 (2 - 7.0) | -1 (25 - 29.0) |
QB Rating (rating) | +1 Flacco (99.9) | 0 McCown (93.3)* |
Home Field | 0 | +3 |
Totals | +5 | -9 |
Calculated Relative Spread | -14.0 | +14.0 |
Pick (units) | BAL -6.5 (4 units) | ------- |
Comments: |
|
Sunday - 1:00pm | Tennessee +5.5 | Detroit -5.5 |
Week 1 MOV (50%) | -4.5 | +2.0 |
Drive Scoring Avg. (Sc%) | -1 (25 - 27.3%) | +1.5 (4 - 54.5%) |
Defense (rank - ppg) | -0.5 (21 - 25.0) | -1.5 (29 - 35.0) |
QB Rating (rating) | -1.5 Mariota (86.5) | +1.5 Stafford (128.6) |
Home Field | 0 | +3 |
Totals | -7.5 | +6.5 |
Calculated Relative Spread | +14.0 | -14.0 |
Pick (units) | ------- | DET -5.5 (5 units) |
Comments: |
|
Sunday - 1:00pm | Kansas City +3 | Houston -3 |
Week 1 MOV (50%) | +3.0 | +4.5 |
Drive Scoring Avg. (Sc%) | +1 (7 - 50%) | 0 (20 - 38.5%) |
Defense (rank - ppg) | -0.5 (22 - 27.0) | +1 (7 - 14.0) |
QB Rating (rating) | +0.5 Smith (97.8) | -1 Osweiler (89.1) |
Home Field | 0 | +3 |
Totals | +4 | +7.5 |
Calculated Relative Spread | +3.5 | -3.5 |
Pick (units) | ------- | HOU -3 (1 unit) |
Comments: |
|
Sunday - 1:00pm | Miami +6.5 | New England -6.5 |
Week 1 MOV (50%) | -1.0 | +1.0 |
Drive Scoring Avg. (Sc%) | -1 (28 - 16.7%) | +1 (7 - 50.0%) |
Defense (rank - ppg) | +1 (5 - 12.0) | 0 (13 - 21.0) |
QB Rating (rating) | -1.5 Tannehill (74.8) | +1.5 Garrapolo (106.1) |
Home Field | 0 | +3 |
Totals | -2.5 | +6.5 |
Calculated Relative Spread | +9.0 | -9.0 |
Pick (units) | ------- | NE -6.5 (2 units) |
Comments: |
|
Sunday - 1:00pm | New Orleans +4.5 | N.Y. Giants -4.5 |
Week 1 MOV (50%) | -0.5 | +0.5 |
Drive Scoring Avg. (Sc%) | +1.5 (4 - 54.5%) | -0.5 (21 - 33.3%) |
Defense (rank - ppg) | -1.5 (29 - 35.0) | +0.5 (10 - 19.0) |
QB Rating (rating) | +1.5 Brees (131.3) | +1.5 Manning (110.3) |
Home Field | 0 | +3 |
Totals | +1 | +5 |
Calculated Relative Spread | +4.0 | -4.0 |
Pick (units) | NO +4.5 (1 unit) | ------- |
Comments: |
|
Sunday - 1:00pm | Cincinnati +3.5 | Pittsburgh -3.5 |
Week 1 MOV (50%) | +0.5 | +11.0 |
Drive Scoring Avg. (Sc%) | +0.5 (12 - 45.5%) | +1.5 (1 - 60.0%) |
Defense (rank - ppg) | 0 (15 - 22.0) | +1 (8 - 16.0) |
QB Rating (rating) | +1.5 Dalton (114.0) | +1.5 Roethlisberger (112.4) |
Home Field | 0 | +3 |
Totals | +2.5 | +18 |
Calculated Relative Spread | +15.5 | -15.5 |
Pick (units) | ------- | PIT -3.5 (5 units) |
Comments: |
|
Sunday - 1:00pm | Dallas +3 | Washington -3 |
Week 1 MOV (50%) | -0.5 | -11.0 |
Drive Scoring Avg. (Sc%) | +1.5 (3 - 55.6) | 0 (17 - 40.0%) |
Defense (rank - ppg) | +0.5 (11 - 20.0) | -1.5 (31 - 38.0) |
QB Rating (rating) | -1.5 Prescott (69.4) | -1.5 Cousins (72.7) |
Home Field | 0 | +3 |
Totals | 0 | -11 |
Calculated Relative Spread | -11.0 | +11.0 |
Pick (units) | DAL +3 (5 units) | ------- |
Comments: |
|
Sunday - 4:05pm | Tampa Bay +6.5 | Arizona -6.5 |
Week 1 MOV (50%) | +3.5 | -1.0 |
Drive Scoring Avg. (Sc%) | 0 (13 - 41.7%) | -0.5 (22 - 30.0%) |
Defense (rank - ppg) | 0 (20 - 24.0) | 0 (16 - 23.0) |
QB Rating (rating) | +1.5 Winston (122.6) | +1.5 Palmer (104.7) |
Home Field | 0 | +3 |
Totals | +5 | +3 |
Calculated Relative Spread | -2 | +2 |
Pick (units) | TB +6.5 (5 units) | ------- |
Comments: |
|
Sunday - 4:05pm | Seattle -7 | Los Angeles +7 |
Week 1 MOV (50%) | +1.0 | -14.0 |
Drive Scoring Avg. (Sc%) | -1 (27 - 25.0%) | -1.5 (32 - 0.0%) |
Defense (rank - ppg) | +1.5 (3 - 10.0) | -0.5 (24 - 28.0) |
QB Rating (rating) | -1.5 Wilson (77.5) | -1.5 Keenum (34.2) |
Home Field | 0 | +3 |
Totals | 0 | -14.5 |
Calculated Relative Spread | -14.5 | +14.5 |
Pick (units) | SEA -7 (4 units) | ------- |
Comments: |
|
Sunday - 4:25pm | Indianapolis +6 | Denver -6 |
Week 1 MOV (50%) | -2.0 | +0.5 |
Drive Scoring Avg. (Sc%) | +1.5 (1 - 60.0%) | -1 (25 - 27.3%) |
Defense (rank - ypg) | -1.5 (32 - 39.0) | +0.5 (11 - 20.0) |
QB Rating (rating) | +1.5 Luck (119.5) | -1.5 Siemien (69.1) |
Home Field | 0 | +3 |
Totals | -0.5 | +1.5 |
Calculated Relative Spread | +2.0 | -2.0 |
Pick (units) | IND +6 (2 units) | ------- |
Comments: |
|
Sunday - 4:25pm | Atlanta +4.5 | Oakland -4.5 |
Week 1 MOV (50%) | -3.5 | +0.5 |
Drive Scoring Avg. (Sc%) | 0 (13 - 41.7%) | +1.5 (4 - 54.5%) |
Defense (rank - ppg) | -1 (26 - 31.0) | -1 (28 - 34.0) |
QB Rating (rating) | +1.5 Ryan (112.6) | +0.5 Carr (98.5) |
Home Field | 0 | +3 |
Totals | -3.5 | +4.5 |
Calculated Relative Spread | +8 | -8 |
Pick (units) | ------- | OAK -4.5 (2 units) |
Comments: |
|
Sunday - 4:25pm | Jacksonville +3 | San Diego -3 |
Week 1 MOV (50%) | -2.0 | -3.0 |
Drive Scoring Avg. (Sc%) | +1 (7 - 50.0%) | 0 (13 - 41.7) |
Defense (rank - ppg) | -0.5 (22 - 27.0) | -1 (27 - 33.0) |
QB Rating (rating) | -1.5 Bortles (85.4) | +0.5 Rivers (97.3) |
Home Field | 0 | +3 |
Totals | -3.0 | -0.5 |
Calculated Relative Spread | +2.5 | -2.5 |
Pick (units) | JAX +3 (1 unit) | ------- |
Comments: |
|
Sunday - 8:30pm | Green Bay -2.5 | Minnesota +2.5 |
Week 1 MOV (50%) | +2.0 | +4.5 |
Drive Scoring Avg. (Sc%) | +1 (7 - 50.0%) | 0 (17 - 40.0%) |
Defense (rank - ppg) | 0 (16 - 23.0) | +1 (8 - 16.0) |
QB Rating (rating) | 0 Rodgers (95.1) | -1.5 Bradford (86.4) |
Home Field | 0 | +3 |
Totals | +3.0 | +7.0 |
Calculated Relative Spread | +4.0 | -4.0 |
Pick (units) | ------- | MIN +2.5 (4 units) |
Comments: |
|
Monday - 8:30pm | Philadelphia +3 | Chicago -3 |
Week 1 MOV (50%) | +9.5 | -4.5 |
Drive Scoring Avg. (Sc%) | 0 (13 - 41.7%) | -1 (28 - 16.7%) |
Defense (rank - ppg) | +1.5 (3 - 10.0) | 0 (16 - 23.0) |
QB Rating (rating) | +1 Wentz (101.0) | -1.5 Cutler (76.2) |
Home Field | 0 | +3 |
Totals | +12.0 | -4.0 |
Calculated Relative Spread | -16.0 | +16.0 |
Pick (units) | PHI +3 (5 units) | ------- |
Comments: |
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